Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Strasbourg
23.9%
Draw
27.3%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Strasbourg
vs
1.10
Lille
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).