Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Hanwell Town
24.9%
Draw
41.6%
Sheppey United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Hanwell Town
vs
1.44
Sheppey United
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).