Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.4%
Welling United
11.4%
Draw
83.2%
Sheppey United
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Welling United
vs
2.78
Sheppey United
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.5%
0-3
12.5%
0-1
9.9%
0-4
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
1-3
7.2%
1-1
5.4%
1-4
5.0%
0-5
4.8%
0-0
3.3%
1-5
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).