Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.1%
Estoril
16.2%
Draw
15.8%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Estoril
vs
1.22
Estrela
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-1
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
4-1
5.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).