Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Hull
29.8%
Draw
24.6%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Hull
vs
0.93
Charlton
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).