Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.6%
Boavista
19.1%
Draw
61.3%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Boavista
vs
2.20
Estoril
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.5%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).