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04 Oct 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.3%
La Louvière
30.5%
Draw
34.1%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

La Louvière

vs
1.06

Waregem

Markets

BTTS43.9%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
11.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).