Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Hannover
24.5%
Draw
21.0%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Hannover
vs
1.10
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).