Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.0%
Strasbourg
13.4%
Draw
9.6%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.75
Strasbourg
vs
0.87
Metz
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.549.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.1%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
4-0
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
5-0
3.5%
5-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).