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vs

21 Mar 2026 · 17:00

Thun

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.3%
Zürich
20.1%
Draw
67.6%
Thun

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Zürich

vs
2.43

Thun

Markets

BTTS58.9%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
7.8%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-4
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
2-3
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).