Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.9%
Reading
16.8%
Draw
12.3%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Reading
vs
0.77
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
12.0%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
5.0%
0-1
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).