Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.7%
Villarreal
16.9%
Draw
12.5%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
Villarreal
vs
0.98
Espanol
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.546.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).