Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Hamburg
29.7%
Draw
31.5%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Hamburg
vs
1.11
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).