Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Deportivo Alavés
36.9%
Draw
31.0%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Deportivo Alavés
vs
0.77
Getafe
Markets
BTTS29.5%
Over 0.578.3%
Over 1.546.3%
Over 2.520.4%
Over 3.57.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.7%
1-0
16.2%
0-1
15.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-0
1.7%
0-3
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).