Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Getafe
29.8%
Draw
50.8%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Getafe
vs
1.30
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).