Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Plymouth
21.7%
Draw
21.7%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Plymouth
vs
0.97
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).