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AHT: 12CSV

23 Dec 2023 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.2%
Sampdoria
28.6%
Draw
26.2%
FeralpiSalo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Sampdoria

vs
1.06

FeralpiSalo

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).