Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Boavista
30.4%
Draw
30.8%
Belenenses
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Boavista
vs
0.88
Belenenses
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.556.3%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
0-0
14.2%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).