Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Weymouth
28.4%
Draw
38.8%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Weymouth
vs
1.36
Sutton
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).