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AHT: 01

21 Sept 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.6%
Basel
23.4%
Draw
16.0%
Zürich

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Basel

vs
1.04

Zürich

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).