Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
Mainz
26.0%
Draw
40.7%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Mainz
vs
1.58
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).