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AHT: 01

24 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Oxford

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.9%
Leicester
28.4%
Draw
27.8%
Oxford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Leicester

vs
1.10

Oxford

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).