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30 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.9%
Nott'm Forest
24.1%
Draw
15.0%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Nott'm Forest

vs
0.89

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).