Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Dundee United
21.4%
Draw
10.3%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Dundee United
vs
0.75
Ayr
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).