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AHT: 01

08 Mar 2026 · 17:30

Eibar

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.9%
Leganes
36.4%
Draw
29.7%
Eibar

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Leganes

vs
0.72

Eibar

Markets

BTTS27.8%
Over 0.578.0%
Over 1.544.3%
Over 2.519.3%
Over 3.56.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
22.0%
1-0
17.6%
0-1
16.0%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
1.8%
2-2
1.8%
0-3
1.4%
3-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).