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10 May 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.7%
Mechelen
30.8%
Draw
24.5%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Mechelen

vs
0.82

Standard

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.4%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).