Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.7%
Southampton
25.0%
Draw
59.2%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Southampton
vs
1.87
West Ham
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-2
11.2%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
1-0
4.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).