Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Hertha
19.4%
Draw
66.5%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Hertha
vs
2.33
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).