Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.6%
Carrarese
28.0%
Draw
39.4%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Carrarese
vs
1.44
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).