Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Coventry
21.9%
Draw
16.3%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Coventry
vs
0.97
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).