Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Fuenlabrada
21.4%
Draw
55.0%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Fuenlabrada
vs
2.01
Castellon
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-3
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).