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10 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.1%
Leyton Orient
20.0%
Draw
56.0%
Cardiff

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Leyton Orient

vs
2.00

Cardiff

Markets

BTTS60.5%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
0-3
5.3%
2-3
4.0%
1-4
3.2%
0-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).