Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Sunderland
30.6%
Draw
21.6%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Sunderland
vs
0.79
Preston
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).