Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Orenburg
30.9%
Draw
41.7%
CSKA Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Orenburg
vs
1.31
CSKA Moskva
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).