Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.2%
Pacos Ferreira
13.8%
Draw
80.0%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Pacos Ferreira
vs
2.39
Benfica
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
16.0%
0-1
13.6%
0-3
12.7%
1-2
7.9%
0-4
7.6%
1-1
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
5.3%
1-4
3.8%
0-5
3.6%
1-0
3.0%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).