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HHT: 00CSV

27 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.7%
Queens Park
31.6%
Draw
22.7%
East Fife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Queens Park

vs
0.93

East Fife

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.9%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).