Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Truro
29.8%
Draw
42.3%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Truro
vs
1.33
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).