Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Crotone
22.5%
Draw
28.9%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Crotone
vs
1.36
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.2%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).