Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.6%
Moreirense
17.4%
Draw
75.0%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Moreirense
vs
2.30
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.4%
0-1
11.9%
0-3
11.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
0-4
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
1-4
3.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).