Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.8%
Manchester City
7.6%
Draw
2.7%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
3.78
Manchester City
vs
0.69
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.582.2%
Over 3.565.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.4%
4-0
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
5-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-1
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
5-1
5.1%
1-0
3.9%
1-1
3.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).