⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 12CSV

21 Oct 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
9.5%
Darmstadt
17.5%
Draw
73.1%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Darmstadt

vs
2.41

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.1%
0-3
9.7%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
5.8%
0-0
4.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.0%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).