Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Stevenage
26.7%
Draw
28.7%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Stevenage
vs
0.92
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).