Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.5%
Lille
15.9%
Draw
13.5%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Lille
vs
1.07
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.0%
3-0
7.5%
1-1
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
4-0
4.9%
3-2
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).