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AHT: 01CSV

20 May 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.8%
Mirandes
27.4%
Draw
41.8%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Mirandes

vs
1.30

Granada

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).