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AHT: 01

11 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.0%
Shakhtar Donetsk
26.6%
Draw
21.5%
Polissya Zhytomyr

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Shakhtar Donetsk

vs
0.88

Polissya Zhytomyr

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
10.5%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).