⚽ FootballData
2 – 3
AHT: 12

30 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
21.6%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
33.0%
Draw
45.4%
Everton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Wolverhampton Wanderers

vs
1.25

Everton

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.9%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
14.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).