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09 Feb 2025 · 13:15

Basel

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Servette
27.5%
Draw
37.5%
Basel

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Servette

vs
1.59

Basel

Markets

BTTS64.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).