Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Port Vale
20.2%
Draw
64.1%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Port Vale
vs
1.85
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
7.8%
0-0
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).