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06 Apr 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.2%
Levante
22.4%
Draw
26.4%
Santander

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Levante

vs
1.29

Santander

Markets

BTTS61.1%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).