Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Stenhousemuir
30.7%
Draw
25.4%
Elgin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Stenhousemuir
vs
1.06
Elgin
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).